دوره 8، شماره 29 - ( 7-1396 )                   سال8 شماره 29 صفحات 239-201 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها


XML English Abstract Print


1- دانشگاه خوارزمی ، hizadbakhsh@khu.ac.ir
2- دانشگاه خوارزمی
3- پژوهشگاه علوم و فناوری اطلاعات ایران (ایرانداک)
چکیده:   (7563 مشاهده)
از آنجا که صندوق های بازنشستگی از جمله نهادهای مهم و تاثیرگذار بر شرایط اقتصادی و اجتماعی جامعه به شمار می روند، مطالعه و بررسی دقیق مسائل پیش روی آن¬ها اجتناب ناپذیر به نظر می رسد. مدیریت دارایی و بدهی ابزاری مفید و اثربخش جهت بررسی و شناخت صندوق بازنشستگی و ذینفعان آن است. در این مقاله سعی شده است عوامل کلیدی تأثیرگذار بر مدیریت دارایی و بدهی در صندوق های بازنشستگی شناسایی شود و توسط پویایی¬شناسی سیستم ها مورد تجزیه و تحلیل قرار گیرد. سپس با استفاده از سیستم استنتاج فازی ریسک های مهم موثر بر مدیریت دارایی و بدهی، ارزیابی شده و در راستای ریسک گرا شدن مدیریت دارایی و بدهی به مدل اضافه گردیده و با آزمون راهکارها و سناریوهای مختلف تاثیر هریک از عوامل و ریسک ها بر مدریت دارایی و بدهی در صندوق های بازنشستگی تعیین شده است. نتایج مؤید این نکته است که کلیدهای موفقیت مدیریت دارایی و بدهی، نگاه یکپارچه به دارایی ها و بدهی ها و منافع ذینفعان  طرح  و توجه به ریسک های جمعیتی و به طور خاص ریسک¬گرایی  است.
متن کامل [PDF 4195 kb]   (3549 دریافت)    
نوع مطالعه: كاربردي | موضوع مقاله: پولی و مالی
دریافت: 1395/7/3 | پذیرش: 1396/6/19 | انتشار: 1396/9/25

فهرست منابع
1. Abedin Khan, M., (2000), Risk Management in Social Security, Civil Servants Pension Organization.
2.  Börsch-Supan, A., Schnabel, R., Kohnz, S., & Mastrobuoni, G. (2004). Micro-modeling of retirement decisions in Germany. In Social security programs and retirement around the world: Micro-estimation (pp. 285-344). University of Chicago Press. [DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226309989.003.0006]
3.  Chaim, R.M. (2006). Combining ALM and system dynamics in pension funds. The 24th International Conference of System Dynamics Society, Netherlands.
4.  Chidozie, O., & Campus, E. (2012). Management of Pension Fund in Nigeria: Challenges and Prospects. A thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Science (MSc). University of Nigeria.
5.  Dert, C. (1995). Asset liability management for pension funds: a multistage chance constrained programming approach. A thesis submitted for the degree of doctor of philosophy. Erasmus University.
6.  Esmaeilian, M., Alimohammadi Kamalabadi, M. (2015), Evaluation of investment decision using system dynamics and real options, The Quarterly Journal of Asset Management and Financing. 3(8), 1-22.
7.  Fartookzadeh, H., Rajabi Nohooji, M., Bairamzadeh, S., (2013) High Consuming Crisis in Proportion to Resources, Journal of Strategic Management Studies, 15,131-156.
8.  Franzen, D. (2010). Managing Investment Risk in Defined Benefit Pension Funds.OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions, No. 38, OECD Publishing.
9.  Gallo, A. (2009). Risk Management and Supervision for Pension Funds: critical implementation of ALM Models (Doctoral dissertation, Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II).
10.  Gunnarsson, B. (2013). Risk management in Almenni collective pension fund. A thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Science (MSc). Reykjavik University.
11.  Habibi, H., Conceptual Modeling of Asset / Portfolio Management in Insurance Companies, Iranian Journal of Insurance Research, 19(74), 5-28.
12.  Hosseini, H., Izadbakhsh. H., Shahvali, S., Aghaei, A. (2013), Applying a systematic approach to identifying factors affecting the continuity of social insurance business in developing countries, Iran Social Security Organization as case study., The 10th Iran Industrial Engineering Conference.
13.  Izadbakhsh H., Zarinbal, M., Hosseini, H., Shahvali, S., (2013), Using system dynamics approach in Social Security Organization, Social Security Organization.
14.  Jalili, T., (2008), Retirement reforms in Asia and the Pacific "Findings and role of the Asian Development Bank", Civil Servants Pension Organization.
15.  Jóhannsson, S. (2016). Evaluation of pension fund assets and liabilities: using variable versus fixed interest rates. A thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Science (MSc). Reykjavik University.
16.  Juerges, H., Thiel, L., Bucher-Koenen, T., Rausch, J., Schuth, M., & Boersch-Supan, A. (2014). Health, financial incentives, and early retirement: micro-simulation evidence for Germany (No. w19889). National bureau of economic research. [DOI:10.3386/w19889]
17.  Karbasian, M., (2005), Social Security and Pension in Iran, Sahami Enteshar Co.
18.  Kallianta, M. (2016).Asset liability management. School of economics, business administration & legal studies, A thesis submitted for the degree of master of science (MSc) in banking and finance.
19.  Kleynen.R. Asset liability management for pension funds. Avalable on: http://www.qfinance.com/contentFiles/QF01/gcriuxgs/14/0/asset-liability-management-for-pension-funds.pdf
20.  Lim, Y.S., (2003), Retirement Planning: Game-plan for Financial Liberation : Unmasking the Principles and Application of Retirement Planning Concepts, Processes, Strategies and Investment Tools in Singapore & Malaysia, D'Wealth Publication.
21.  Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The journal of finance, 7(1), 77-91. [DOI:10.1111/j.1540-6261.1952.tb01525.x]
23.  McLeod, R. W., Moody, S., & Phillips, A. (1992). The risks of pension plans. Financial Services Review, 2(2), 131-156. [DOI:10.1016/1057-0810(92)90007-Y]
24.  Mehregan, M.R., Daghigh Asl, A.R., Ghalibaf, H., Malekian, L., (2011), Designing a Mathematical Model for Asset and Liability Management using Goal Planning in Iranian Insurance Companies, , Iranian Journal of Insurance Research, 105(1), 101-123.
25.  Murata, T., & Chen, Z. (2013). Agent-based simulation for pension system in Japan. in agent-based approaches in economic and social complex systems VII (pp. 183-197). Springer Japan. [DOI:10.1007/978-4-431-54279-7_13]
26. _13
27.  Pachamanova, Dessislava, Nalan Gülpınar, and Ethem Çanakoğlu. (2017) .Robust approaches to pension fund asset liability management under uncertainty." Optimal Financial Decision Making under Uncertainty. Springer International Publishing. 89-119. [DOI:10.1007/978-3-319-41613-7_4]
28.  Presentation of Financial Statements, IAS 14, Current Assets and Current Liabilities.
29.  Presentation of Financial Statements, IAS 26, Accounting and Reporting by Retirement Benefit Plans.
30.  Reynisson, G. M. (2012). Asset liability management for Icelandic pension funds: the stochastic programming approach. A thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Science (MSc). Faculty of Economics School of Social Science at University of Iceland.
31.  Ricerca, D.D (2010). A quantitative model for the asset liability management of a Pension Fund. A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. University deli study di Cagliari.
32.  Rosen, D., & Zenios, S. A. (2006). Enterprise-wide asset and liability management: issues, institutions, and models. Handbook of Asset and Liability Management: Theory and Methodology, 1(1). [DOI:10.1016/S1872-0978(06)01001-5]
33.  Saberi Nasr, A., Rezaei, M., Dashti Barmaki, M., Mansouri Majoumerd J., (2013), Evaluating Mamdani Fuzzy Inference System Usage in the Analysis of Groundwater Quality, Case Study: Tabas Aquifer, Iranian Journal of Water & Environment Engineering, 1(1), 25-34.
34.  Sapiri, H., Kamil, A. A., & Tahar, R. M. (2014). System dynamics dpproach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: the case of Malaysian employees public pension plan. The Singapore economic review, 59(05), 145-146. [DOI:10.1142/S0217590814500465]
35.  Sarbazalipour S., Fallah A., (2014) A New Probabilistic Model of Portfolio Optimization Based on Insurer's Liability in Life Insurance Contracts, Iranian Journal of Insurance Research, 28(112), 55-80.
36.  Shao, W., Hao, Y., Chen, K., & Liu, B. (2013). Study on china's pension gap based on system dynamics. International journal of engineering and industries, 4(4), 27.
37.  Sterman, J., (2000), Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. McGraw-Hill.
38.  Usenik, J., & Turnsek, T. (2013). Modeling conflict dynamics with fuzzy logic inference. Jour-nal of US- China Public Administration, 10(5), 457-474.
39.  Veiga, Á. & Valladão, D. (2010). On the asset and liability management for pension funds:a multistage stochastic programming model and an equilibrium risk measuring method. A thesis submitted for the degree of Master of Science (MSc). Charles University Prague, Sokolovsk'a 83, CZ-186 75 Prague.
40.  Viehweger, B., & Jagalski, T. (2003). The reformed pension system in Germany, a system dynamics model for the next 50 years. In 21st system dynamics conference proceeding Vol. 191, No. 10.
41.  Yavas, M. Bacaksizlar, G. (2010). Financial sustainability of social security institutions in the presence of aging populations. 28st International conference of system dynamics

بازنشر اطلاعات
Creative Commons License این مقاله تحت شرایط Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License قابل بازنشر است.